Trade and CBAM

Pick an exporter to project tariff differentials

Year 2023

Net penalty, revenue leakage, and trade diversion · EU and US. Net penalty = embedded tCO₂ × rate gap (CBAM-style control).

Destination

Loading trade data…

Destination partners

Observed bilateral values in this sample, grouped by importer.

Loading partners…

Export vulnerability index

n/a

Composite score

Exports at risk

…

Net penalty (projected)

…

Embedded tCO₂ × (border rate − domestic price), not trade value. That is why net penalty is usually far smaller than exports at risk.

Revenue leakage (projected)

…

Domestic revenue capture (projected)

…

Diverted trade (projected)

…

Trade diversion (projected)

n/a

Low diversion risk